NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Aug, 2023 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HILARY is currently located near 13.4 N 105.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
the United States
probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 117 hours
La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).