N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Aug, 2017 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FRANKLIN is currently located near 19.1 N 87.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). FRANKLIN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Belize
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
Merida (21.0 N, 89.6 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Campeche (19.9 N, 90.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
Veracruz (19.2 N, 96.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
