TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Apr, 2023 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC ILSA is currently located near 17.7 S 119.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). ILSA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Apr, 2023 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone ILSA is currently located near 17.1 S 119.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). ILSA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Apr, 2023 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone ILSA is currently located near 16.5 S 119.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). ILSA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Apr, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ILSA is currently located near 16.0 S 119.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). ILSA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).