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Monday, September 6, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2021 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 23.1 N 54.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). LARRY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 117 hours
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHANTHU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2021 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHANTHU is currently located near 15.6 N 136.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). CHANTHU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2021 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 11.9 N 124.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2021 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 22.5 N 53.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). LARRY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 11.5 N 124.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NINETEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression NINETEEN is currently located near 14.7 N 138.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NINETEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 11.3 N 125.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 10.8 N 126.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 30% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2021 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 21.5 N 52.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). LARRY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).