SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Mar, 2026 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE is currently located near 13.4 S 143.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). NARELLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Katherine (14.0 S, 132.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Mataranka (14.9 S, 133.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Larrimah (15.8 S, 133.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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