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Thursday, March 19, 2026

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Mar, 2026 0:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE is currently located near 13.4 S 143.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). NARELLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Katherine (14.0 S, 132.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Mataranka (14.9 S, 133.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Larrimah (15.8 S, 133.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0035 UTC FRI MAR 20 2026

....TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC TSUNAMI AND OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS WARNING SYSTEM FOR
THE CARIBBEAN AND ADJACENT REGIONS AND IS MEANT FOR NATIONAL
AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0022 UTC MAR 20 2026
* COORDINATES 61.1 SOUTH 56.6 WEST
* DEPTH 17 KM / 11 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH SHETLAND ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE SOUTH SHETLAND ISLANDS AT 0022 UTC ON FRIDAY MARCH 20
2026.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
CARIBBEAN COASTS FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF THE US GULF COAST... US EAST COAST... AND
THE MARITIME PROVINCES OF CANADA SHOULD REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0031 UTC FRI MAR 20 2026

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0022 UTC MAR 20 2026
* COORDINATES 61.1 SOUTH 56.6 WEST
* DEPTH 17 KM / 11 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH SHETLAND ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE SOUTH SHETLAND ISLANDS AT 0022 UTC ON FRIDAY MARCH 20
2026.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Mar, 2026 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC NARELLE is currently located near 13.8 S 144.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). NARELLE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Mataranka (14.9 S, 133.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Mar, 2026 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC NARELLE is currently located near 13.6 S 145.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). NARELLE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cooktown (15.4 S, 145.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Mar, 2026 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC NARELLE is currently located near 13.6 S 146.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). NARELLE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Katherine (14.0 S, 132.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Mataranka (14.9 S, 133.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).