S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jan, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 21.2 S 110.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jan, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 21.2 S 110.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, January 12, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone NARELLE
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.5 S 111.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Perth (32.0 S, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.5 S 111.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Perth (32.0 S, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.5 S 111.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Perth (32.0 S, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.5 S 111.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Perth (32.0 S, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.2 S 111.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.2 S 111.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.2 S 111.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 20.2 S 111.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 19.5 S 111.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 19.5 S 111.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 19.5 S 111.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2013 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE (08S) currently located near 19.5 S 111.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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