NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Jul, 2010 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CONSON (03W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
