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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEMBIN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 85% currently
North Korea
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 85% currently
North Korea
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEMBIN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 45% currently
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 45% currently
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEMBIN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Shenyang (41.8 N, 123.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Anshan (41.1 N, 123.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Khabarovsk (48.4 N, 135.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Shenyang (41.8 N, 123.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Anshan (41.1 N, 123.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Khabarovsk (48.4 N, 135.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEMBIN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.