NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Aug, 2016 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JAVIER is currently located near 20.6 N 107.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). JAVIER is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
