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Saturday, May 15, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 May, 2021 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 15.0 N 72.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). TAUKTAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Panaji (15.5 N, 73.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Karwar (14.9 N, 74.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Honavar (14.3 N, 74.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Bombay (19.1 N, 72.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 May, 2021 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 14.6 N 72.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). TAUKTAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Panaji (15.5 N, 73.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Karwar (14.9 N, 74.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Honavar (14.3 N, 74.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 May, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 14.4 N 72.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Pakistan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Panaji (15.5 N, 73.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Karwar (14.9 N, 74.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Honavar (14.3 N, 74.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Jamnagar (22.5 N, 70.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Mandvi (22.9 N, 69.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Morbi (22.7 N, 70.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Jakhan (23.4 N, 68.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 May, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 13.5 N 73.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Pakistan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Karwar (14.9 N, 74.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Honavar (14.3 N, 74.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Panaji (15.5 N, 73.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Mangalore (12.9 N, 74.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Mandvi (22.9 N, 69.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Morbi (22.7 N, 70.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Jamnagar (22.5 N, 70.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Jakhan (23.4 N, 68.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Shahbandar (24.1 N, 67.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Ahmadabad (23.0 N, 72.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Bhavnagar (21.8 N, 72.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Hyderabad (25.3 N, 68.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).