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Tuesday, August 6, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Aug, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MANGKHUT (10W) currently located near 18.0 N 108.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% currently
Vietnam
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Aug, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MANGKHUT (10W) currently located near 17.0 N 110.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Aug, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TEN (10W) currently located near 15.9 N 110.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Vietnam
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Aug, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TEN (10W) currently located near 14.6 N 110.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.