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Sunday, March 26, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 18.6 S 150.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DEBBIE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 18.3 S 151.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DEBBIE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Ingham (18.5 S, 146.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.