N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Oct, 2020 3:00 GMT
Hurricane DELTA is currently located near 16.8 N 80.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DELTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DELTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Cayman Islands
probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
Cuba
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
George Town (19.3 N, 81.4 W)
probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Merida (21.0 N, 89.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
