SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 16.4 S 178.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 16.4 S 178.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, December 16, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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