N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2023 15:00 GMT
Tropical Depression AL03 is currently located near 11.0 N 40.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL03 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Guadeloupe
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
Dominica
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
Martinique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
St. Lucia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
Barbados
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
Antigua and Barbuda
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
the Netherlands Antilles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 117 hours
St. Kitts and Nevis
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 117 hours
Montserrat
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 117 hours
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
the British Virgin Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 117 hours
Puerto Rico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 117 hours
the Virgin Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 117 hours
San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 117 hours
St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 117 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
