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You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (Atlantic, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service. 12/01/2012 12:50 AM EST 000 ABNT20 KNHC 010547 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1250 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE... LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE IT MERGES WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ANOTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED FOR THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Friday, November 30, 2012
Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 145.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 145.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 145.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 145.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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