TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 31.2 N 80.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MATTHEW is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AERE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AERE is currently located near 21.2 N 116.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). AERE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 30.2 N 80.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). MATTHEW is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AERE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AERE is currently located near 21.3 N 115.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). AERE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2016 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 29.4 N 80.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). MATTHEW is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AERE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AERE is currently located near 21.3 N 116.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). AERE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2016 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 28.2 N 80.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). MATTHEW is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.