NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2019 0:00 GMT
Typhoon HAGIBIS is currently located near 15.1 N 149.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). HAGIBIS is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAGIBIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
