TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Aug, 2023 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 19.7 N 112.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). HILARY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Aug, 2023 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 18.7 N 112.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). HILARY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Aug, 2023 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 17.9 N 111.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). HILARY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Aug, 2023 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 17.2 N 110.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). HILARY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).