N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jul, 2015 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm TWO (02B) currently located near 21.9 N 91.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)Bangladesh
probability for TS is 100% currently
Myanmar
probability for TS is 90% currently
India
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
