S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.4 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.4 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, February 19, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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