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Tuesday, June 19, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jun, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Taiwan
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jun, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Taiwan
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GUCHOL

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm GUCHOL (05W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm GUCHOL (05W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GUCHOL

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GUCHOL (05W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jun, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GUCHOL (05W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.