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Saturday, September 10, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MERANTI is currently located near 16.3 N 135.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 120 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MERANTI is currently located near 15.8 N 136.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MERANTI is currently located near 15.9 N 137.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MERANTI is currently located near 15.5 N 138.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.