Pages

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHAILIN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHAILIN (02B) currently located near 14.4 N 91.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Puri (19.8 N, 85.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NARI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NARI (24W) currently located near 15.1 N 127.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHAILIN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHAILIN (02B) currently located near 14.1 N 91.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puri (19.8 N, 85.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NARI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NARI (24W) currently located near 14.7 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYFOUR (24W) currently located near 14.5 N 128.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWO

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWO (02B) currently located near 13.7 N 92.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Puri (19.8 N, 85.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWO

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWO (02B) currently located near 13.4 N 92.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Puri (19.8 N, 85.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR (24W) currently located near 14.4 N 129.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.