TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 18 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 32.2 N 71.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Sep, 2017 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm TALIM is currently located near 41.7 N 141.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (47.0 N, 142.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 31.5 N 71.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM is currently located near 37.6 N 138.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (47.0 N, 142.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARIA is currently located near 13.5 N 56.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). MARIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Dominica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Martinique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    St. Lucia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 31.0 N 71.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM is currently located near 34.1 N 134.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (47.0 N, 142.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM is currently located near 32.4 N 132.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (47.0 N, 142.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 30.0 N 71.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.