S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jan, 2018 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm BERGUITTA is currently located near 18.2 S 63.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
