TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THREE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THREE (03A) currently located near 8.0 N 51.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 16.3 N 110.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THREE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THREE (03A) currently located near 8.0 N 52.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 15.5 N 111.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Ha Giang (22.8 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 14.5 N 113.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THREE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THREE (03A) currently located near 7.9 N 51.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 13.5 N 114.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THREE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THREE (03A) currently located near 8.0 N 52.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Ethiopia
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Garoowe (8.4 N, 48.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.