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Saturday, February 20, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2016 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.4 S 175.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). WINSTON is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2016 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.4 S 177.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). WINSTON is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2016 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.4 S 178.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). WINSTON is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.