NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 7.4 N 139.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 7.1 N 141.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 7.1 N 141.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THIRTY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm THIRTY (30W) currently located near 10.9 N 115.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm THIRTY (30W) currently located near 10.9 N 115.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 6.8 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 6.8 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIYAN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 6.4 N 144.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon HAIYAN (31W) currently located near 6.4 N 144.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Depression THIRTY (30W) currently located near 10.7 N 116.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression THIRTY (30W) currently located near 10.7 N 116.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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