NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 19.7 N 124.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 19.7 N 124.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2347Z 26 SEP 2012
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2347Z 26 SEP 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2340Z 26 SEP 2012
COORDINATES - 51.2 NORTH 178.2 WEST
DEPTH - 35 KM
LOCATION - ANDREANOF ISLANDS ALEUTIAN IS.
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE
INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Celebrate World Teachers' Day 5 October -----------------------------------------
Take a stand for teachers! Join us in celebrating 5 October, World Teachers' Day
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/events/prizes-and-celebrations/celebrations/international-days/world-teachersday/
Agissons pour les enseignant(e)s ! Le 5 octobre, célébrons ensemble la Journée mondiale des enseignants
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/events/prizes-and-celebrations/celebrations/international-days/world-teachersday/
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 19.1 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 19.1 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 19.1 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 19.1 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.4 N 125.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.4 N 125.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.4 N 125.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.4 N 125.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.0 N 126.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.0 N 126.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.0 N 126.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 18.0 N 126.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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