NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Sep, 2011 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NESAT (20W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.3 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Sep, 2011 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NESAT (20W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.3 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
