TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIMA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2016 0:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIMA is currently located near 18.4 N 120.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). HAIMA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAIMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIMA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIMA is currently located near 17.9 N 121.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). HAIMA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAIMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIMA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIMA is currently located near 17.3 N 123.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). HAIMA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAIMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIMA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2016 6:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIMA is currently located near 16.7 N 124.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). HAIMA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAIMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SARIKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2016 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression SARIKA is currently located near 21.7 N 108.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). SARIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.