Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kaoshsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2011 18:00 GMT
Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kaoshsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
