TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NARI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon NARI (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 108.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thailand
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 26.8 N 133.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 150023
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
523 PM PDT MON OCT 14 2013

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 1613 AKDT OCT 14 2013
1713 PDT OCT 14 2013
0013 UTC OCT 15 2013
* COORDINATES 9.8 NORTH 124.2 EAST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION MINDANAO PHILIPPINE ISLANDS


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGE
FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0022Z 15 OCT 2013

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 0013Z 15 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 9.8 NORTH 124.2 EAST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - MINDANAO PHILIPPINES
MAGNITUDE - 7.2

EVALUATION

NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 25.6 N 133.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NARI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NARI (24W) currently located near 16.1 N 109.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Thailand
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 24.2 N 134.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NARI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NARI (24W) currently located near 16.0 N 109.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thailand
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 23.0 N 134.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NARI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NARI (24W) currently located near 15.8 N 110.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Thailand
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.