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Wednesday, September 14, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Typhoon MALAKAS is currently located near 17.2 N 128.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MALAKAS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 24.5 N 118.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MERANTI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon MALAKAS is currently located near 16.6 N 129.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MALAKAS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JULIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JULIA is currently located near 32.1 N 80.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). JULIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL12

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL12 is currently located near 17.0 N 25.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL12 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon MALAKAS is currently located near 16.3 N 131.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). MALAKAS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 23.5 N 118.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). MERANTI is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MALAKAS is currently located near 15.8 N 132.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 22.5 N 119.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). MERANTI is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.