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Tuesday, April 7, 2020

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC HAROLD

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Apr, 2020 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC HAROLD is currently located near 18.9 S 177.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). HAROLD is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone HAROLD

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Apr, 2020 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone HAROLD is currently located near 18.3 S 175.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). HAROLD is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone HAROLD

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Apr, 2020 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone HAROLD is currently located near 17.4 S 174.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). HAROLD is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone HAROLD

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Apr, 2020 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone HAROLD is currently located near 17.1 S 172.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). HAROLD is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).