NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Sep, 2014 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression FIFTEEN (15W) currently located near 10.3 N 139.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, September 10, 2014
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression FIFTEEN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2014 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression FIFTEEN (15W) currently located near 9.9 N 141.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression FIFTEEN (15W) currently located near 9.9 N 141.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)