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Monday, March 10, 2025

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone JUDE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2025 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Cyclone JUDE is currently located near 15.2 S 39.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). JUDE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JUDE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Malawi
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).