TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0309Z 14 AUG 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0300Z 14 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 49.7 NORTH 145.3 EAST
DEPTH - 582 KM
LOCATION - SEA OF OKHOTSK
MAGNITUDE - 7.3
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Monday, August 13, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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