TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NATHAN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Mar, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NATHAN (18P) currently located near 14.0 S 141.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone NATHAN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Mar, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone NATHAN (18P) currently located near 14.5 S 143.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.