N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2019 3:00 GMT
Hurricane LORENZO is currently located near 39.1 N 32.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). LORENZO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LORENZO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Azores
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Ireland
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Northern Ireland
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Scotland
probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Ponta Delgada (37.7 N, 25.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
