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Tuesday, October 9, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LUBAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Oct, 2018 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LUBAN is currently located near 14.1 N 59.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). LUBAN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LUBAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MICHAEL

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 10 Oct, 2018 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MICHAEL is currently located near 27.1 N 86.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). MICHAEL is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MICHAEL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Montgomery (32.4 N, 86.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TITLI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Oct, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TITLI is currently located near 16.3 N 86.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TITLI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUBAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUBAN is currently located near 14.1 N 59.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LUBAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MICHAEL

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MICHAEL is currently located near 26.0 N 86.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). MICHAEL is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MICHAEL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TITLI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TITLI is currently located near 16.2 N 86.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). TITLI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane SERGIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 15:00 GMT

Hurricane SERGIO is currently located near 16.6 N 127.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). SERGIO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SERGIO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SIX

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SIX is currently located near 15.2 N 86.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SIX is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SIX

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SIX is currently located near 14.8 N 86.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SIX is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).