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Wednesday, October 24, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MURJAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MURJAN (01A) currently located near 10.5 N 53.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xaafunn (10.5 N, 51.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MURJAN (01A) currently located near 10.5 N 53.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xaafunn (10.5 N, 51.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SON-TINH

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 12.4 N 121.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 70% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 12.4 N 121.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 70% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SON-TINH

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 11.7 N 123.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 65% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 11.7 N 123.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 65% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SON-TINH

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 11.3 N 123.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 11.3 N 123.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SON-TINH

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 10.7 N 125.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 10.7 N 125.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.