S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Jan, 2023 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CHENESO is currently located near 20.0 S 42.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). CHENESO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Morondava (20.3 S, 44.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
