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Thursday, August 31, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2023 0:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 21.8 N 116.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAIKUI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2023 0:00 GMT

Typhoon HAIKUI is currently located near 22.0 N 129.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). HAIKUI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAIKUI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDALIA is currently located near 33.4 N 72.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 18:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 21.6 N 116.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDALIA is currently located near 33.6 N 74.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 12:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 21.4 N 117.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDALIA is currently located near 33.7 N 77.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 6 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDALIA is currently located near 33.6 N 78.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAIKUI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAIKUI is currently located near 21.2 N 132.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). HAIKUI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 6:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 21.2 N 117.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDALIA is currently located near 33.5 N 79.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 18 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 6 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).