NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 21.4 N 106.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 21.4 N 106.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, October 28, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.9 N 106.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.9 N 106.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.9 N 106.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.9 N 106.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.1 N 106.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.1 N 106.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.1 N 106.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 20.1 N 106.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 19.2 N 107.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 19.2 N 107.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 19.2 N 107.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 19.2 N 107.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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