N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Jun, 2016 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm COLIN is currently located near 29.8 N 83.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). COLIN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Canada
probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
St. Pierre and Miquelon
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
St John's (47.6 N, 52.7 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
