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Saturday, March 8, 2025

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYFIVE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Mar, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYFIVE is currently located near 14.5 S 45.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).