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Wednesday, July 23, 2014

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MATMO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2014 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MATMO (10W) currently located near 25.8 N 119.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MATMO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2014 6:00 GMT

Typhoon MATMO (10W) currently located near 25.0 N 119.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.