TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OWEN is currently located near 15.2 S 135.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). OWEN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Borroloola (16.1 S, 136.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OWEN is currently located near 15.0 S 136.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). OWEN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Borroloola (16.1 S, 136.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OWEN is currently located near 14.8 S 136.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Borroloola (16.1 S, 136.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OWEN is currently located near 14.9 S 136.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Borroloola (16.1 S, 136.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Normanton (17.8 S, 141.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).